Joonas Tuhkuri

Assistant Professor of Economics, Stockholm University


Bio

Contact

Research

Media

Data

Reports

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Bio

I’m an economist (PhD, MIT) and an Assistant Professor of Economics at Stockholm University from 2023.

 Currently, I’m based at the new RF Berlin, a Senior Fellow at Etla, and a Research Affiliate at IZA.

My research focuses on technology, work, and psychology using novel large-scale data. For example, my latest work documents that when firms adopted advanced technologies they increased employment—contrasting with common concerns about the future of work. I’ve also created a real-time forecast ETLAnow that predicts unemployment using Google search data.

The media has featured my research widely, including in The Economist, Washington Post, and Wired. My PhD thesis was awarded the Upjohn Institute Award, and HS listed me in their 35 under 35.

CV (Updated April 2023)

Research Statement (Updated October 2022)

Fields: Labor Economics, Technology and Innovation, Psychology and Economics.


Contact

Email: joonas.tuhkuri@gmail.com
Tel: +358 400 239 818
Address:
Rockwool Foundation Berlin
c/o Department of Economics HU Berlin
Spandauer Straße 1 10178 Berlin


Working Papers

New Evidence on the Effect of Technology on Employment and Skill Demand

(with Johannes Hirvonen and Aapo Stenhammar)

Last Updated: May 2022

under revision for the Quarterly Journal of Economics

Abstract (click to expand)

Online Appendix

Slides

Featured in The Economist

School vs. Action-Oriented Personalities in the Labor Market

(with Ramin Izadi)

Last Updated: November 2021

under revision for the Journal of Labor Economics

Abstract (click to expand)

Featured in Marginal Revolution

Psychological Traits and Adaptation in the Labor Market

(with Ramin Izadi)

Last Updated: February 2023

Abstract (click to expand)

Featured in Marginal Revolution

The Surprising Intergenerational Effects of Manufacturing Decline

Last Updated: February 2023

Abstract (click to expand)

Slides with more detailed results


Work in Progress

Scarcity vs. Surplus: New Evidence on Labor Supply and Industrialization

(with Jonas Mueller-Gastell)

Abstract (click to expand)


Media

The Economist: Economists are revising their views on robots and jobs, 2022.
The Economist: Leader: The world should welcome the rise of the robots, 2022.
Wired: Automation Isn’t the Biggest Threat to US Factory Jobs, 2022.
Bloomberg: Understanding Europe’s Economy in 100 Billion Google Searches, 2016.


Data

Projects

ETLAnow: Real-time unemployment forecasts based on Google search data. 2014–
Featured in The Washington Post, Bloomberg, Chicago Tribune, YLE News, HS, and widely in the global media.

Code

Occupation Codes: This package harmonizes Finnish occupation codes.
Industry Codes: This package harmonizes Finnish industry codes (2 and 3 digit levels).
County and Subregion Codes: This package harmonizes Finnish county codes into consistent subregions.


Reports

Policy Brief: New Evidence on the Effect of Technology on Employment and Skill Demand, ETLA Brief 108, 2022 (with J. Hirvonen and A. Stenhammar).

Forecasting Unemployment with Google Searches, ETLA Working Paper 35, 2016.

ETLAnow: A Model for Forecasting with Big Data, ETLA Report 54, 2016.

Big Data: Do Google Searches Predict Unemployment?, University of Helsinki, 2015.

Big Data: Google Searches Predict Unemployment in Finland, ETLA Report 31, 2014.

International Sourcing in Finland and Sweden, ETLA B 275, 2017 (with H. Lööf et al.).

Globalization Threatens One Quarter of Finnish Employment, ETLA Brief 46, 2016.

Finland in Global Value Chains, Prime Minister’s Office Publications 11/2016, 2016 (with J. Ali-Yrkkö et al.).

Offshoring R&D, CESIS Working Paper 439, 2016 (with H. Lööf et al.).

Trade and Innovation: Matched Worker-Firm-Level Evidence, ETLA Working Paper 39, 2016.

Women and Men in Central Government 2012, Ministry of Finance, 20/2013, 2013.